Value of $100 in 1938, adjusted to 1957

What happened to prices between 1938 and 1957

Between 1938 and 1957, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.1 to 28.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 99.3%, which works out to an average of 3.70% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1938 bought what $0.50 buys in 1957.

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1957

Consumer prices rose 3.3% in 1957, up from 1956’s 1.5% and the sharpest increase since the Korean War price surge of 1951. The jump fed a growing debate among economists over “cost-push” inflation, prices climbing from rising wages and material costs rather than excess demand, a debate that would recur for the next quarter century. The Federal Reserve tightened policy to fight it, and by August the tighter money combined with falling business investment to tip the economy into a recession, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research’s dating. The Cold War took a technological turn that October, when the Soviet Union launched Sputnik, the first artificial satellite, on the 4th, stunning the American public and setting off both the Space Race and a surge in federal science and defense spending the following year. Civil rights reached a crisis that September in Little Rock, Arkansas: after Governor Orval Faubus used the National Guard to block nine Black students from Central High School, Eisenhower federalized the Guard and sent the 101st Airborne Division to enforce the Supreme Court’s desegregation order. Consumer prices finished 1957 183.8% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stood at $1.00 an hour.

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