Value of $100 in 1938, adjusted to 1956

What happened to prices between 1938 and 1956

Between 1938 and 1956, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.1 to 27.2. Cumulatively, prices increased 92.9%, which works out to an average of 3.72% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1938 bought what $0.52 buys in 1956.

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1956

Consumer prices rose 1.5% in 1956, a return to mild inflation after they had fallen 0.4% in 1955, the only annual decline of the decade. The two years sat in the calmest stretch of the postwar index, a lull between the Korean War price surge earlier in the 1950s and the acceleration that would return in the 1970s. Congress had already raised the wage floor into that calm: the Fair Labor Standards Amendments of 1955, signed the previous August, took effect March 1 and lifted the federal minimum wage from 75 cents to $1 an hour, the first increase since 1950. Eisenhower signed a longer-lasting commitment on June 29, the Federal-Aid Highway Act, funding 41,000 miles of controlled-access highway at 90% federal cost to build the Interstate System, the largest public-works program the country had undertaken. He won a second term that November, carrying 41 states and about 57% of the popular vote in a rematch against Adlai Stevenson. Abroad, the Suez Crisis broke the calm on the supply side: Egypt nationalized the canal on July 26, and after Israel invaded the Sinai on October 29 with British and French forces following, the canal’s closure and damaged pipelines squeezed oil shipments to Western Europe for months. Consumer prices stood 174.7% above their 1913 level by 1956, up 94% since 1940 alone, even after a decade that had barely moved the index. First-class postage held at 3 cents, unchanged since 1932.

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