Value of $100 in 1938, adjusted to 1954

What happened to prices between 1938 and 1954

Between 1938 and 1954, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.1 to 26.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 90.8%, which works out to an average of 4.12% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1938 bought what $0.52 buys in 1954.

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1954

Consumer prices rose 0.7% in 1954, extending 1953’s 0.8% slowdown even as the economy tipped into recession, an early example of prices continuing to rise through a downturn rather than falling with it. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates that recession from July 1953 to May 1954, as defense spending fell after the Korean War armistice and the tighter monetary policy of the year before worked its way through the economy. The Supreme Court reshaped a different part of American life that spring: its unanimous May 17 ruling in Brown v. Board of Education held that “separate but equal” public schools violated the Constitution, overturning the legal basis for segregated education. Washington also closed the book on a different fight that year. Following the televised Army-McCarthy hearings that spring, the Senate voted 67 to 22 on December 2 to condemn Senator Joseph McCarthy’s conduct, ending his dominance of American politics after four years of anti-communist investigations. Consumer prices finished 1954 171.7% above their 1913 level, essentially flat with 1953 as the mild recession held the cost of living in check. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 75 cents an hour.

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