Value of $100 in 1938, adjusted to 1945

What happened to prices between 1938 and 1945

Between 1938 and 1945, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.1 to 18. Cumulatively, prices increased 27.7%, which works out to an average of 3.55% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1938 bought what $0.78 buys in 1945.

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1945

Consumer prices rose 2.3% in 1945, up from 1944’s 1.7% but still modest, a rate that understated how much pressure had built up behind wartime price and wage controls, which stayed largely in place even as the conflict that justified them came to a close. The year opened with a shock at home: Franklin Roosevelt died of a cerebral hemorrhage on April 12, less than three months into an unprecedented fourth term, and Vice President Harry Truman was sworn in that same afternoon. The war Roosevelt had led for nearly four years ended without him. Germany surrendered on May 8, and Japan surrendered on August 15, after atomic bombs fell on Hiroshima and Nagasaki that month, with the formal signing aboard the USS Missouri on September 2. Domestic policy kept moving even as the guns fell silent: the federal minimum wage rose to 40 cents an hour that October 24, the final step of the schedule Congress had built into the 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act, up from 30 cents in 1939 and 25 cents at the law’s start. Consumer prices stood 81.8% above their 1913 level, a gain that would look modest next to what followed once wartime controls actually came off. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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