Value of $100 in 1937, adjusted to 1965

What happened to prices between 1937 and 1965

Between 1937 and 1965, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.4 to 31.5. Cumulatively, prices increased 118.8%, which works out to an average of 2.84% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1937 bought what $0.46 buys in 1965.

Consumer prices rose 3.6% in 1937, the fastest pace since before the Depression and the fourth straight year of gains, leaving prices 10.8% above their 1933 trough though still 15.8% below the 1929 peak. The recovery did not last the year. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates a new business cycle peak to that May, the start of what became known as the Recession of 1937-38. Policy tightened on two fronts at once: the Federal Reserve had doubled bank reserve requirements over the preceding year to head off inflation it worried was building, and the federal government pulled back its own spending even as new Social Security payroll taxes began draining money from paychecks months before the first benefit checks went out. Together they choked off a recovery that had not yet reached its pre-Depression footing. Not every milestone that year was economic. The Golden Gate Bridge opened to traffic on May 27 after four years of construction, at the time the longest suspension bridge span in the world, a rare bright spot in a year that would end with the economy sliding backward again. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1965

Consumer prices rose 1.6% in 1965, up from 1964’s 1.3% in a pickup that economists later mark as the start of the Great Inflation, a run of accelerating price increases driven by rising Vietnam War spending layered on top of new Great Society programs. The war itself escalated on the ground that March, when about 3,500 Marines came ashore at Da Nang, the first American combat troops committed to Vietnam; troop levels would climb toward 200,000 by year’s end. Domestic policy expanded just as fast: Medicare and Medicaid became law that July 30, creating federal health insurance for older and low-income Americans, and the Voting Rights Act, signed that August 6, banned literacy tests and other devices used to disenfranchise Black voters. The civil rights movement’s gains coexisted with urban unrest that same August, when a highway patrol traffic stop in the Watts neighborhood of Los Angeles set off six days of rioting that left 34 people dead. Consumer prices finished 1965 218.2% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 5 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at $1.25 an hour.

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