Value of $100 in 1937, adjusted to 1944

What happened to prices between 1937 and 1944

Between 1937 and 1944, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.4 to 17.6. Cumulatively, prices increased 22.2%, which works out to an average of 2.91% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1937 bought what $0.82 buys in 1944.

Consumer prices rose 3.6% in 1937, the fastest pace since before the Depression and the fourth straight year of gains, leaving prices 10.8% above their 1933 trough though still 15.8% below the 1929 peak. The recovery did not last the year. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates a new business cycle peak to that May, the start of what became known as the Recession of 1937-38. Policy tightened on two fronts at once: the Federal Reserve had doubled bank reserve requirements over the preceding year to head off inflation it worried was building, and the federal government pulled back its own spending even as new Social Security payroll taxes began draining money from paychecks months before the first benefit checks went out. Together they choked off a recovery that had not yet reached its pre-Depression footing. Not every milestone that year was economic. The Golden Gate Bridge opened to traffic on May 27 after four years of construction, at the time the longest suspension bridge span in the world, a rare bright spot in a year that would end with the economy sliding backward again. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1944

Consumer prices rose just 1.7% in 1944, down from 1943’s 6.1% and the slowest increase of the war years, as price and wage controls held the cost of living nearly flat even as the conflict reached its most expensive phase. The war itself turned decisively that June, when more than 150,000 Allied troops landed on the beaches of Normandy, France, opening the long-planned second front against Nazi Germany. Congress used the same month to plan for the war’s end, passing the GI Bill on June 22 to give returning veterans money for college or vocational training, low-cost home and business loans, and unemployment benefits, a package that would reshape American housing and higher education for a generation. The following month, delegates from 44 Allied nations gathered at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, and agreed to peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar, itself pegged to gold, creating the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank to manage the new system. Consumer prices stood 77.8% above their 1913 level, a cumulative wartime rise held down by controls that would start unwinding the following year. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour.

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