Value of $100 in 1937, adjusted to 1954

What happened to prices between 1937 and 1954

Between 1937 and 1954, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.4 to 26.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 86.8%, which works out to an average of 3.74% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1937 bought what $0.54 buys in 1954.

Consumer prices rose 3.6% in 1937, the fastest pace since before the Depression and the fourth straight year of gains, leaving prices 10.8% above their 1933 trough though still 15.8% below the 1929 peak. The recovery did not last the year. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates a new business cycle peak to that May, the start of what became known as the Recession of 1937-38. Policy tightened on two fronts at once: the Federal Reserve had doubled bank reserve requirements over the preceding year to head off inflation it worried was building, and the federal government pulled back its own spending even as new Social Security payroll taxes began draining money from paychecks months before the first benefit checks went out. Together they choked off a recovery that had not yet reached its pre-Depression footing. Not every milestone that year was economic. The Golden Gate Bridge opened to traffic on May 27 after four years of construction, at the time the longest suspension bridge span in the world, a rare bright spot in a year that would end with the economy sliding backward again. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1954

Consumer prices rose 0.7% in 1954, extending 1953’s 0.8% slowdown even as the economy tipped into recession, an early example of prices continuing to rise through a downturn rather than falling with it. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates that recession from July 1953 to May 1954, as defense spending fell after the Korean War armistice and the tighter monetary policy of the year before worked its way through the economy. The Supreme Court reshaped a different part of American life that spring: its unanimous May 17 ruling in Brown v. Board of Education held that “separate but equal” public schools violated the Constitution, overturning the legal basis for segregated education. Washington also closed the book on a different fight that year. Following the televised Army-McCarthy hearings that spring, the Senate voted 67 to 22 on December 2 to condemn Senator Joseph McCarthy’s conduct, ending his dominance of American politics after four years of anti-communist investigations. Consumer prices finished 1954 171.7% above their 1913 level, essentially flat with 1953 as the mild recession held the cost of living in check. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 75 cents an hour.

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