Value of $100 in 1938, adjusted to 1971

What happened to prices between 1938 and 1971

Between 1938 and 1971, the Consumer Price Index went from 14.1 to 40.5. Cumulatively, prices increased 187.2%, which works out to an average of 3.25% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1938 bought what $0.35 buys in 1971.

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1971

Consumer prices rose 4.4% in 1971, down from 1970’s 5.7% as the recession that started in December 1969 finally cooled demand. The bigger economic story came that August 15, when President Nixon closed the “gold window” that let foreign governments exchange dollars for gold, ending the Bretton Woods system that had anchored the dollar since World War II. The same address announced a 90-day freeze on wages and prices, the first peacetime controls the country had seen, an attempt to break inflationary expectations without the slower grind of tighter money. The “Nixon Shock,” as it came to be known, let the dollar float against other currencies for the first time and set the stage for a wage-and-price-control regime that would run in various forms into 1973. Politically, the country lowered its voting age that year: the 26th Amendment, ratified July 1, extended the vote to 18-year-olds, capping a campaign built on the argument that men old enough to be drafted to Vietnam were old enough to vote for the people who sent them. The Postal Service, independent since 1970’s reorganization, raised first-class postage from 6 to 8 cents that May. A median household earned $9,028 in 1971, up from $8,734 the year before, while gas held near 36 cents a gallon and a new home sold for a median $25,200. Consumer prices stood 309.1% above their 1913 level by year’s end, still years away from the double-digit inflation the controls were meant to prevent.

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