Value of $100 in 1930, adjusted to 1971

What happened to prices between 1930 and 1971

Between 1930 and 1971, the Consumer Price Index went from 16.7 to 40.5. Cumulatively, prices increased 142.5%, which works out to an average of 2.18% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1930 bought what $0.41 buys in 1971.

Consumer prices fell 2.3% in 1930, a mild decline compared with what was coming but the first sign that the summer 1929 downturn was not going to be short. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates that contraction from August 1929, and by the time it finally bottomed out in March 1933 it would run 43 months, the longest of any downturn in the NBER’s chronology back to 1854. Congress made the trade picture worse in June, when President Hoover signed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, raising duties on more than 20,000 imported goods to some of the highest levels in a century. Trading partners retaliated with tariffs of their own, and global trade volumes collapsed over the next several years, deepening a downturn economists still debate how much the tariff itself worsened. The financial system cracked that fall: a regional banking panic culminated in the December 11 failure of the Bank of United States in New York, at the time the largest bank failure in American history, wiping out more than $200 million in deposits. It was the first of four banking panics that would hit the country before 1933 was out. Consumer prices still stood 68.7% above their 1913 starting point, but the direction had clearly turned. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged for eleven straight years.

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The destination year: 1971

Consumer prices rose 4.4% in 1971, down from 1970’s 5.7% as the recession that started in December 1969 finally cooled demand. The bigger economic story came that August 15, when President Nixon closed the “gold window” that let foreign governments exchange dollars for gold, ending the Bretton Woods system that had anchored the dollar since World War II. The same address announced a 90-day freeze on wages and prices, the first peacetime controls the country had seen, an attempt to break inflationary expectations without the slower grind of tighter money. The “Nixon Shock,” as it came to be known, let the dollar float against other currencies for the first time and set the stage for a wage-and-price-control regime that would run in various forms into 1973. Politically, the country lowered its voting age that year: the 26th Amendment, ratified July 1, extended the vote to 18-year-olds, capping a campaign built on the argument that men old enough to be drafted to Vietnam were old enough to vote for the people who sent them. The Postal Service, independent since 1970’s reorganization, raised first-class postage from 6 to 8 cents that May. A median household earned $9,028 in 1971, up from $8,734 the year before, while gas held near 36 cents a gallon and a new home sold for a median $25,200. Consumer prices stood 309.1% above their 1913 level by year’s end, still years away from the double-digit inflation the controls were meant to prevent.

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