Value of $100 in 1930, adjusted to 1950

What happened to prices between 1930 and 1950

Between 1930 and 1950, the Consumer Price Index went from 16.7 to 24.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 44.3%, which works out to an average of 1.85% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1930 bought what $0.69 buys in 1950.

Consumer prices fell 2.3% in 1930, a mild decline compared with what was coming but the first sign that the summer 1929 downturn was not going to be short. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates that contraction from August 1929, and by the time it finally bottomed out in March 1933 it would run 43 months, the longest of any downturn in the NBER’s chronology back to 1854. Congress made the trade picture worse in June, when President Hoover signed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, raising duties on more than 20,000 imported goods to some of the highest levels in a century. Trading partners retaliated with tariffs of their own, and global trade volumes collapsed over the next several years, deepening a downturn economists still debate how much the tariff itself worsened. The financial system cracked that fall: a regional banking panic culminated in the December 11 failure of the Bank of United States in New York, at the time the largest bank failure in American history, wiping out more than $200 million in deposits. It was the first of four banking panics that would hit the country before 1933 was out. Consumer prices still stood 68.7% above their 1913 starting point, but the direction had clearly turned. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged for eleven straight years.

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The destination year: 1950

Consumer prices rose 1.3% in 1950, up from 1949’s 1.2% decline, a mild gain that hid a sharp turn partway through the year. The cost of living had been roughly flat through the spring, then jumped after North Korea invaded South Korea on June 25, setting off a wave of hoarding and defense buying reminiscent of World War II shortages. The United States entered the war within days under a United Nations mandate; American and South Korean forces were pushed back to the Pusan Perimeter that summer before a landing at Inchon that September reversed the front, and China’s entry into the war that November turned it into a longer stalemate. Congress moved to put the economy on a war footing that September, passing the Defense Production Act, which gave the president authority to direct industrial output toward the military and, if prices kept climbing, to impose formal wage and price controls. Domestic policy also expanded that year: the Social Security Amendments of 1950, signed August 28, raised benefits across the board and extended coverage to roughly 10 million more workers, the program’s first major expansion since it began in 1935. Consumer prices finished 1950 143.4% above their 1913 level, matching 1948’s postwar high after 1949’s brief decline. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stood at 75 cents an hour after January’s increase.

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