Value of $100 in 1950, adjusted to 2021

What happened to prices between 1950 and 2021

Between 1950 and 2021, the Consumer Price Index went from 24.1 to 270.97. Cumulatively, prices increased 1024.4%, which works out to an average of 3.47% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1950 bought what $0.09 buys in 2021.

Consumer prices rose 1.3% in 1950, up from 1949’s 1.2% decline, a mild gain that hid a sharp turn partway through the year. The cost of living had been roughly flat through the spring, then jumped after North Korea invaded South Korea on June 25, setting off a wave of hoarding and defense buying reminiscent of World War II shortages. The United States entered the war within days under a United Nations mandate; American and South Korean forces were pushed back to the Pusan Perimeter that summer before a landing at Inchon that September reversed the front, and China’s entry into the war that November turned it into a longer stalemate. Congress moved to put the economy on a war footing that September, passing the Defense Production Act, which gave the president authority to direct industrial output toward the military and, if prices kept climbing, to impose formal wage and price controls. Domestic policy also expanded that year: the Social Security Amendments of 1950, signed August 28, raised benefits across the board and extended coverage to roughly 10 million more workers, the program’s first major expansion since it began in 1935. Consumer prices finished 1950 143.4% above their 1913 level, matching 1948’s postwar high after 1949’s brief decline. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stood at 75 cents an hour after January’s increase.

More about inflation in 1950 →

The destination year: 2021

2021 was the year inflation stopped being background noise. Consumer prices rose 4.7% on average for the year, and the pace kept building as the months went on: by December, the 12-month rate had reached 7.0%, the highest since 1982. The proximate cause was a supply chain that could not keep up with a fast-reopening economy. A global semiconductor shortage choked new car production and pushed used vehicle prices up by more than a third, the single largest line item in the year’s inflation math. Lumber, appliances, and shipping capacity told versions of the same story: demand snapped back faster than factories, ports, and truckers could handle it. Washington added fuel in March with the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, on top of the relief already in the pipeline since 2020. For most of the year, the Federal Reserve called the price surge “transitory,” a temporary reopening effect expected to fade on its own, and held its policy rate near zero. By November, with inflation still climbing, the Fed reversed course and began winding down its bond purchases, the first step toward the rate hikes that would follow in 2022. Gas averaged $3.01 a gallon for the year, up from about $2.17 in 2020, while the federal minimum wage held at $7.25, unchanged since 2009. In hindsight, 2021 reads as the hinge year: the point where “transitory” inflation became the multi-year fight the Fed spent the next two years trying to win.

More about inflation in 2021 →