Value of $100 in 1944, adjusted to 1981

What happened to prices between 1944 and 1981

Between 1944 and 1981, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.6 to 90.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 416.5%, which works out to an average of 4.54% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1944 bought what $0.19 buys in 1981.

Consumer prices rose just 1.7% in 1944, down from 1943’s 6.1% and the slowest increase of the war years, as price and wage controls held the cost of living nearly flat even as the conflict reached its most expensive phase. The war itself turned decisively that June, when more than 150,000 Allied troops landed on the beaches of Normandy, France, opening the long-planned second front against Nazi Germany. Congress used the same month to plan for the war’s end, passing the GI Bill on June 22 to give returning veterans money for college or vocational training, low-cost home and business loans, and unemployment benefits, a package that would reshape American housing and higher education for a generation. The following month, delegates from 44 Allied nations gathered at Bretton Woods, New Hampshire, and agreed to peg their currencies to the U.S. dollar, itself pegged to gold, creating the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank to manage the new system. Consumer prices stood 77.8% above their 1913 level, a cumulative wartime rise held down by controls that would start unwinding the following year. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour.

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The destination year: 1981

1981 was the year the inflation fever finally broke, at an extraordinary price. Consumer prices rose 10.3%, the second year of back-to-back double-digit inflation and the last time the U.S. would see one. To end it, Paul Volcker’s Federal Reserve drove its policy rate above 19% and let borrowing costs go where they may: a 30-year mortgage cost more than 18% by autumn, car loans and business credit froze, and homebuilders mailed the Fed two-by-fours in protest. The squeeze tipped the economy into recession in July, the deep 1981–82 downturn that would push unemployment past 10%. But it worked. Inflation fell by nearly half within a year and to under 4% by 1983, the disinflation that defined the following two decades. Even the price of mailing a letter told the year’s story: postage went up twice in eight months.

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