Value of $100 in 1931, adjusted to 1950

What happened to prices between 1931 and 1950

Between 1931 and 1950, the Consumer Price Index went from 15.2 to 24.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 58.6%, which works out to an average of 2.46% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1931 bought what $0.63 buys in 1950.

Consumer prices fell 9.0% in 1931, a sharp acceleration from the 2.3% decline in 1930, as falling wages, collapsing farm prices, and a fresh wave of bank failures fed a downward spiral that the still-contracting economy could not shake. More than 2,000 banks failed during the year, far more than in 1930, as depositors who had watched earlier banks go under pulled their cash out of ones they feared were next. The crisis went international that September, when Britain suspended the gold standard amid a run on sterling. The Federal Reserve’s response made the domestic downturn worse before it made anything better: to defend the dollar’s own gold backing, the Fed raised its discount rate sharply that October, in two steps from 1.5% to 3.5%, tightening credit at the exact moment the economy needed the opposite. Not every headline that year was grim. The Empire State Building opened its doors on May 1, briefly the tallest building in the world, though so much of Manhattan’s office space sat vacant amid the Depression that tenants stayed scarce and New Yorkers took to calling it the “Empty State Building.” Consumer prices had now fallen for two straight years and stood 53.5% above their 1913 level, down from the 68.7% margin of just twelve months before. First-class postage remained at 2 cents.

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The destination year: 1950

Consumer prices rose 1.3% in 1950, up from 1949’s 1.2% decline, a mild gain that hid a sharp turn partway through the year. The cost of living had been roughly flat through the spring, then jumped after North Korea invaded South Korea on June 25, setting off a wave of hoarding and defense buying reminiscent of World War II shortages. The United States entered the war within days under a United Nations mandate; American and South Korean forces were pushed back to the Pusan Perimeter that summer before a landing at Inchon that September reversed the front, and China’s entry into the war that November turned it into a longer stalemate. Congress moved to put the economy on a war footing that September, passing the Defense Production Act, which gave the president authority to direct industrial output toward the military and, if prices kept climbing, to impose formal wage and price controls. Domestic policy also expanded that year: the Social Security Amendments of 1950, signed August 28, raised benefits across the board and extended coverage to roughly 10 million more workers, the program’s first major expansion since it began in 1935. Consumer prices finished 1950 143.4% above their 1913 level, matching 1948’s postwar high after 1949’s brief decline. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stood at 75 cents an hour after January’s increase.

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