Value of $100 in 1929, adjusted to 1966

What happened to prices between 1929 and 1966

Between 1929 and 1966, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.1 to 32.4. Cumulatively, prices increased 89.5%, which works out to an average of 1.74% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1929 bought what $0.53 buys in 1966.

Consumer prices were unchanged in 1929, the CPI’s annual average flat for the second time in six years and a fitting close to a decade that began with wartime inflation and ended in rough price stability. By year’s end the index stood 14.5% below its 1920 peak and roughly 73% above its 1913 starting point, a reminder that even a “stable” decade left prices well above where they had started. The stability in the cost of living masked what was building in financial markets. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the start of the Great Depression to that August, the month the business cycle peaked, months before most Americans noticed anything was wrong. The break came that October: panic selling hit Wall Street on Black Thursday, October 24, and returned even worse on Black Tuesday, October 29, when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell about 12% in a single session. Billions of dollars in paper wealth disappeared within days, and the crash marked the start of a downturn that would pull consumer prices into their steepest sustained decline of the 20th century over the next four years. First-class postage was still 2 cents, a price that would hold until 1932.

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The destination year: 1966

Consumer prices rose 2.9% in 1966, nearly double 1965’s 1.6% as Vietnam War spending kept climbing without an offsetting tax increase, pushing the economy closer to capacity and prices higher along with it. Medicare coverage took effect that July 1, extending federal health insurance to roughly 19 million Americans age 65 and older under the program signed into law the year before. The Federal Reserve had already moved to cool the overheating economy, raising its discount rate the previous December over White House objections; the tightening carried into 1966 as the first postwar credit crunch, freezing parts of the housing and municipal bond markets even as inflation kept climbing. Congress widened the wage floor’s reach that September 23, when the Fair Labor Standards Amendments of 1966 set a $1.40 minimum wage effective the following February and extended coverage to roughly 9 million more workers in retail, hospitals, schools, and other services not previously covered. Consumer prices finished 1966 227.3% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 5 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at $1.25 an hour for the rest of the year.

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