Value of $100 in 1928, adjusted to 1949

What happened to prices between 1928 and 1949

Between 1928 and 1949, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.1 to 23.8. Cumulatively, prices increased 39.2%, which works out to an average of 1.59% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1928 bought what $0.72 buys in 1949.

Consumer prices fell 1.7% in 1928, the second straight year of mild decline even as the stock market climbed sharply, a widening gap between asset prices and the cost of living that later economists pointed to as an early warning sign. The Federal Reserve tightened policy repeatedly over the year, raising its discount rate in an effort to slow the flood of borrowed money pouring into stock purchases without derailing the broader economy, a balancing act it ultimately failed to manage. Herbert Hoover won the presidential election that November, defeating Democrat Al Smith on a platform built around continuing the prosperity of the Coolidge years; few voters or policymakers anticipated how quickly that prosperity would end. First-class postage remained at 2 cents, a price that had now held for nine straight years.

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The destination year: 1949

Consumer prices fell 1.2% in 1949, down from 1948’s 8.1% gain and the first annual decline since 1939, the first real break in a decade otherwise defined by wartime and postwar inflation. A mild recession drove the drop: the National Bureau of Economic Research dates a downturn from November 1948 to October 1949, as businesses worked off inventories built up during the postwar buying boom and price pressure finally eased. The Cold War hardened around the same time. On April 4, the United States, Canada, and ten Western European nations signed the North Atlantic Treaty, committing to treat an attack on one member as an attack on all and formalizing the Western alliance against Soviet expansion. That August 29, the Soviet Union tested its first atomic bomb, ending the American nuclear monopoly just four years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki and setting off an arms race that would run for decades. Congress closed out the decade’s wage policy that October, passing the Fair Labor Standards Amendments of 1949 to raise the federal minimum wage to 75 cents an hour effective the following January, nearly double the 40 cents that had held since 1945. The decade closed with consumer prices 140.4% above their 1913 level, up 70% since 1940 alone even after 1949’s decline. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

More about inflation in 1949 →