Value of $100 in 1928, adjusted to 1942

What happened to prices between 1928 and 1942

Between 1928 and 1942, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.1 to 16.3. Cumulatively, prices declined 4.7%, which works out to an average of -0.34% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1928 bought what $1.05 buys in 1942.

Consumer prices fell 1.7% in 1928, the second straight year of mild decline even as the stock market climbed sharply, a widening gap between asset prices and the cost of living that later economists pointed to as an early warning sign. The Federal Reserve tightened policy repeatedly over the year, raising its discount rate in an effort to slow the flood of borrowed money pouring into stock purchases without derailing the broader economy, a balancing act it ultimately failed to manage. Herbert Hoover won the presidential election that November, defeating Democrat Al Smith on a platform built around continuing the prosperity of the Coolidge years; few voters or policymakers anticipated how quickly that prosperity would end. First-class postage remained at 2 cents, a price that had now held for nine straight years.

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The destination year: 1942

Consumer prices rose 10.9% in 1942, up from 1941’s already rapid 5.0% and the fastest increase since 1920, as the economy’s crash conversion to war production collided with shrinking supplies of civilian goods. The government tried to contain it: the General Maximum Price Regulation, effective May 18 and known as “General Max,” froze most retail prices at their highest March level, the broadest price control Washington had ever attempted. Rationing followed close behind. Sugar rationing began that May and gasoline rationing went nationwide in December, the leading edge of a system that would eventually cover meat, coffee, shoes, tires, and dozens of other goods before the war ended. The year’s other defining wartime measure had nothing to do with prices. Executive Order 9066, signed February 19, authorized the military to remove more than 110,000 Japanese Americans, most of them U.S. citizens, from the West Coast and hold them in inland internment camps for the war’s duration, one of the era’s starkest violations of civil liberties. Even with price controls in place, consumer prices climbed more than 10% for the first time since 1920, leaving the CPI 64.6% above its 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour.

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