Value of $100 in 1921, adjusted to 1942

What happened to prices between 1921 and 1942

Between 1921 and 1942, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.9 to 16.3. Cumulatively, prices declined 8.9%, which works out to an average of -0.44% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1921 bought what $1.10 buys in 1942.

Consumer prices fell 10.5% in 1921, the mirror image of the wartime inflation that had more than doubled the cost of living between 1913 and 1920. The Depression of 1920-21, one of the sharpest contractions in U.S. history, bottomed out that July according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, even though it had lasted barely eighteen months. Unemployment climbed toward one worker in ten as businesses cut production and prices to work through wartime inventories, but the same collapse in prices also meant the recovery, once it started, had room to run without reigniting inflation. Warren Harding took office March 4, promising a return to “normalcy” after a decade of war, pandemic, labor unrest, and rapid price swings; his administration moved quickly to cut top income tax rates and federal spending. Congress also acted on immigration that year: the Emergency Quota Act, signed May 19, capped annual arrivals from each country at 3% of that nationality’s population in the 1910 census, the first time the United States had set a numerical ceiling on immigration. The law favored northern and western Europe and cut total immigration by more than half compared with prewar levels; Congress tightened the formula again in 1924. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged since mid-1919.

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The destination year: 1942

Consumer prices rose 10.9% in 1942, up from 1941’s already rapid 5.0% and the fastest increase since 1920, as the economy’s crash conversion to war production collided with shrinking supplies of civilian goods. The government tried to contain it: the General Maximum Price Regulation, effective May 18 and known as “General Max,” froze most retail prices at their highest March level, the broadest price control Washington had ever attempted. Rationing followed close behind. Sugar rationing began that May and gasoline rationing went nationwide in December, the leading edge of a system that would eventually cover meat, coffee, shoes, tires, and dozens of other goods before the war ended. The year’s other defining wartime measure had nothing to do with prices. Executive Order 9066, signed February 19, authorized the military to remove more than 110,000 Japanese Americans, most of them U.S. citizens, from the West Coast and hold them in inland internment camps for the war’s duration, one of the era’s starkest violations of civil liberties. Even with price controls in place, consumer prices climbed more than 10% for the first time since 1920, leaving the CPI 64.6% above its 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour.

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