Value of $100 in 1921, adjusted to 1932

What happened to prices between 1921 and 1932

Between 1921 and 1932, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.9 to 13.7. Cumulatively, prices declined 23.5%, which works out to an average of -2.40% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1921 bought what $1.31 buys in 1932.

Consumer prices fell 10.5% in 1921, the mirror image of the wartime inflation that had more than doubled the cost of living between 1913 and 1920. The Depression of 1920-21, one of the sharpest contractions in U.S. history, bottomed out that July according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, even though it had lasted barely eighteen months. Unemployment climbed toward one worker in ten as businesses cut production and prices to work through wartime inventories, but the same collapse in prices also meant the recovery, once it started, had room to run without reigniting inflation. Warren Harding took office March 4, promising a return to “normalcy” after a decade of war, pandemic, labor unrest, and rapid price swings; his administration moved quickly to cut top income tax rates and federal spending. Congress also acted on immigration that year: the Emergency Quota Act, signed May 19, capped annual arrivals from each country at 3% of that nationality’s population in the 1910 census, the first time the United States had set a numerical ceiling on immigration. The law favored northern and western Europe and cut total immigration by more than half compared with prewar levels; Congress tightened the formula again in 1924. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged since mid-1919.

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The destination year: 1932

Consumer prices fell 9.9% in 1932, the steepest single-year drop in the CPI’s history to that point and the third straight year of decline following 1930 and 1931. Wages, farm incomes, and industrial output all kept falling, and Congress tried to arrest the credit collapse by creating the Reconstruction Finance Corporation that January, capitalized at $500 million with authority to borrow up to $1.5 billion to lend directly to banks, railroads, and other struggling businesses. Relief did not reach ordinary households as quickly. That summer, tens of thousands of World War I veterans and their families camped in Washington demanding early payment of a service bonus not due until 1945; in July, U.S. Army troops under General Douglas MacArthur forcibly dispersed the encampment, an episode that badly damaged the Hoover administration’s standing months before an election it was already losing. Voters delivered their verdict on November 8, electing Franklin D. Roosevelt in a landslide over the incumbent Hoover on a promise of relief and a “new deal for the American people.” Roosevelt would not take office until the following March, leaving a long and difficult transition during the depths of the crisis. First-class postage rose from 2 cents to 3 cents on July 6, the first change to the rate since 1919.

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