Value of $100 in 1951, adjusted to 1978

What happened to prices between 1951 and 1978

Between 1951 and 1978, the Consumer Price Index went from 26 to 65.2. Cumulatively, prices increased 150.8%, which works out to an average of 3.46% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1951 bought what $0.40 buys in 1978.

Consumer prices rose 7.9% in 1951, up sharply from 1950’s 1.3% and the fastest increase since 1947, as Korean War buying and a defense spending surge hit an economy still adjusting to peacetime. Much of the jump came early in the year, before the government stepped in: the Office of Price Stabilization imposed a general ceiling on prices January 26, and the Wage Stabilization Board froze wages soon after, the broadest peacetime controls since the war began that June. The year’s more lasting change came in monetary policy. On March 4, the Treasury and the Federal Reserve signed the Accord, ending the Fed’s wartime obligation to hold down interest rates on government bonds and freeing the central bank to fight inflation on its own terms for the first time since 1942, a shift that would shape Fed independence for decades. Congress raised taxes that October to help pay for the war: the Revenue Act of 1951, signed October 20, lifted individual and corporate income taxes along with a range of excise taxes, the third increase in taxes since fighting began in Korea. Consumer prices finished 1951 162.6% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 75 cents an hour.

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The destination year: 1978

Consumer prices rose 7.6% in 1978, accelerating for a second straight year as rising wages, a weakening dollar, and climbing energy costs outpaced the Federal Reserve’s response. Fed chairman G. William Miller, appointed by Carter that March, kept interest rates too low to slow the trend, a policy later cited as one reason inflation kept building toward the following year’s crisis. California voters responded to their own version of the problem that June, passing Proposition 13 by nearly two to one to cap property tax rates after years of rising home values had pushed tax bills up alongside them. Foreign policy delivered one of the decade’s genuine breakthroughs: President Carter brought Egyptian President Anwar Sadat and Israeli Prime Minister Menachem Begin together for thirteen days of negotiations at Camp David that September, producing a framework for peace between the two countries that was signed as a treaty the following March. First-class postage rose to 15 cents that May 29, a rate that would hold longer than any other in the decade. The year ended in tragedy: cult leader Jim Jones directed the mass murder-suicide of more than 900 followers at a remote settlement in Guyana that November 18. A median household earned $15,064 in 1978, a new home sold for a median $55,700, and gas averaged 63 cents a gallon. Consumer prices stood 558.6% above their 1913 level, with the decade’s worst inflation still to come.

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