Value of $100 in 1942, adjusted to 1981

What happened to prices between 1942 and 1981

Between 1942 and 1981, the Consumer Price Index went from 16.3 to 90.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 457.7%, which works out to an average of 4.51% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1942 bought what $0.18 buys in 1981.

Consumer prices rose 10.9% in 1942, up from 1941’s already rapid 5.0% and the fastest increase since 1920, as the economy’s crash conversion to war production collided with shrinking supplies of civilian goods. The government tried to contain it: the General Maximum Price Regulation, effective May 18 and known as “General Max,” froze most retail prices at their highest March level, the broadest price control Washington had ever attempted. Rationing followed close behind. Sugar rationing began that May and gasoline rationing went nationwide in December, the leading edge of a system that would eventually cover meat, coffee, shoes, tires, and dozens of other goods before the war ended. The year’s other defining wartime measure had nothing to do with prices. Executive Order 9066, signed February 19, authorized the military to remove more than 110,000 Japanese Americans, most of them U.S. citizens, from the West Coast and hold them in inland internment camps for the war’s duration, one of the era’s starkest violations of civil liberties. Even with price controls in place, consumer prices climbed more than 10% for the first time since 1920, leaving the CPI 64.6% above its 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour.

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The destination year: 1981

1981 was the year the inflation fever finally broke, at an extraordinary price. Consumer prices rose 10.3%, the second year of back-to-back double-digit inflation and the last time the U.S. would see one. To end it, Paul Volcker’s Federal Reserve drove its policy rate above 19% and let borrowing costs go where they may: a 30-year mortgage cost more than 18% by autumn, car loans and business credit froze, and homebuilders mailed the Fed two-by-fours in protest. The squeeze tipped the economy into recession in July, the deep 1981–82 downturn that would push unemployment past 10%. But it worked. Inflation fell by nearly half within a year and to under 4% by 1983, the disinflation that defined the following two decades. Even the price of mailing a letter told the year’s story: postage went up twice in eight months.

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