Value of $100 in 1939, adjusted to 1961

What happened to prices between 1939 and 1961

Between 1939 and 1961, the Consumer Price Index went from 13.9 to 29.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 115.1%, which works out to an average of 3.54% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1939 bought what $0.46 buys in 1961.

Consumer prices fell 1.4% in 1939, closing out a decade in which the CPI fell in six years and rose in four, leaving prices 18.7% below their 1929 level even after the mid-decade recovery. Measured against the start of the CPI’s modern record, prices still stood 40.4% above their 1913 level, a reminder that even a decade defined by deflation left the cost of living well above where it had been a generation earlier. The decade’s final months reset the economic picture entirely. Germany invaded Poland on September 1, and Britain and France declared war two days later; the United States stayed formally neutral under the Neutrality Acts, but Allied orders for war materiel began flowing to American factories almost immediately, a demand shock that would do more to end the Depression over the next few years than any peacetime relief program had managed. Domestic policy kept building on the New Deal’s framework, too: the federal minimum wage rose to 30 cents an hour that October, the second step in the schedule set by the 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act. Amid it all, the New York World’s Fair opened April 30 in Queens, themed “The World of Tomorrow” and drawing tens of millions of visitors with exhibits on television and other technologies promising a more prosperous decade than the one just ending. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1961

Consumer prices rose 1.0% in 1961, down from 1960’s 1.7% as the economy climbed out of recession, a recovery the National Bureau of Economic Research dates to that February. Politically, the year opened with a changing of the guard: outgoing president Dwight Eisenhower’s farewell address on January 17 warned of a growing “military-industrial complex,” and three days later John F. Kennedy was sworn in, urging Americans to “ask not what your country can do for you.” The new administration’s first major foreign-policy test came quickly and badly: a CIA-organized force of Cuban exiles landed at the Bay of Pigs on April 17 aiming to topple Fidel Castro, and without the U.S. air support Kennedy withheld, the invasion collapsed within three days. Cold War tensions hardened further that August, when East German forces sealed the border between East and West Berlin overnight, building what would become the Berlin Wall and stopping the flow of refugees to the West. Domestically, the wage floor moved for the first time in five years: the Fair Labor Standards Amendments of 1961, effective that September, raised the minimum wage to $1.15 an hour and extended coverage to roughly 3.6 million additional workers. Consumer prices finished 1961 202.0% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 4 cents.

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