Value of $100 in 1939, adjusted to 1940

What happened to prices between 1939 and 1940

Between 1939 and 1940, the Consumer Price Index went from 13.9 to 14. Cumulatively, prices increased 0.7%, which works out to an average of 0.72% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1939 bought what $0.99 buys in 1940.

Consumer prices fell 1.4% in 1939, closing out a decade in which the CPI fell in six years and rose in four, leaving prices 18.7% below their 1929 level even after the mid-decade recovery. Measured against the start of the CPI’s modern record, prices still stood 40.4% above their 1913 level, a reminder that even a decade defined by deflation left the cost of living well above where it had been a generation earlier. The decade’s final months reset the economic picture entirely. Germany invaded Poland on September 1, and Britain and France declared war two days later; the United States stayed formally neutral under the Neutrality Acts, but Allied orders for war materiel began flowing to American factories almost immediately, a demand shock that would do more to end the Depression over the next few years than any peacetime relief program had managed. Domestic policy kept building on the New Deal’s framework, too: the federal minimum wage rose to 30 cents an hour that October, the second step in the schedule set by the 1938 Fair Labor Standards Act. Amid it all, the New York World’s Fair opened April 30 in Queens, themed “The World of Tomorrow” and drawing tens of millions of visitors with exhibits on television and other technologies promising a more prosperous decade than the one just ending. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1940

Consumer prices rose 0.7% in 1940, snapping 1939’s decline and marking the first increase since 1937. The gain was modest, and the CPI still stood 18.1% below its 1929 peak, a reminder of how far the recovery from the Depression’s trough had left to go even as defense orders from Britain and France began reaching American factories. War was already reshaping domestic policy well before it touched American soil. Congress passed the Selective Training and Service Act that September, the country’s first peacetime draft, requiring men aged 21 to 35 to register and authorizing the induction of up to 900,000 men a year, more than a year before Pearl Harbor. That November, Franklin Roosevelt won an unprecedented third term, defeating Republican Wendell Willkie after campaigning on keeping the United States out of the war then consuming Europe and Asia. The promise would not hold much longer: within two years, wartime demand would push consumer prices up faster than at any point since the aftermath of World War I. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the federal minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour, the level set the previous October under the Fair Labor Standards Act.

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