Value of $100 in 1927, adjusted to 1973

What happened to prices between 1927 and 1973

Between 1927 and 1973, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.4 to 44.4. Cumulatively, prices increased 155.2%, which works out to an average of 2.06% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1927 bought what $0.39 buys in 1973.

Consumer prices fell 1.7% in 1927, a mild retreat after three years of gradual increases and part of a shallow up-and-down pattern that ran through the second half of the decade. Aviation delivered the year’s signature moment: Charles Lindbergh departed Roosevelt Field, New York, on May 20 and landed at Le Bourget Field outside Paris roughly 33.5 hours later, the first person to fly the Atlantic solo and nonstop. Detroit closed a chapter of its own that May, when Ford halted the Model T’s production line after nearly 19 years and more than 15 million cars sold, idling tens of thousands of workers while its factories retooled for the Model A. The Federal Reserve, meeting with European central bankers that summer, cut its discount rate to ease pressure on currencies still recovering from the war, a move later cited by economists including Milton Friedman and Anna Schwartz as fuel for the stock market speculation that built through the following two years. First-class postage held at 2 cents.

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The destination year: 1973

Consumer prices rose 6.2% in 1973, nearly double 1972’s 3.2%, as Nixon’s wage and price controls were phased out through the year and pressure the controls had been holding back broke loose. The bigger shock arrived that October, when Arab oil-producing states embargoed exports to the United States and other supporters of Israel in the Yom Kippur War. Crude oil, which had traded around $3 a barrel, approached $12 by early 1974, and gas lines became a fixture outside filling stations nationwide. Earlier in the year, the Paris Peace Accords, signed that January 27, ended direct American combat in Vietnam and set a 60-day deadline for withdrawing remaining U.S. troops, even as fighting between North and South Vietnam went on. Financial markets read the year correctly as a turning point: the Dow Jones Industrial Average peaked at 1,051.70 on January 11, a level it would not reach again until 1980, before the oil shock and rising interest rates dragged it into a two-year bear market. A median household earned $10,512 in 1973, a new home sold for a median $32,500, and gas averaged 38.5 cents a gallon, still under half of what the embargo’s effects would bring the following year. Consumer prices stood 348.5% above their 1913 level by year’s end, with the decade’s worst inflation still ahead.

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