Value of $100 in 1924, adjusted to 2021

What happened to prices between 1924 and 2021

Between 1924 and 2021, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.1 to 270.97. Cumulatively, prices increased 1484.6%, which works out to an average of 2.89% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1924 bought what $0.06 buys in 2021.

Consumer prices held flat in 1924, the CPI’s annual average unchanged from 1923 after swinging from a sharp postwar drop to a modest rise the year before. That stability, extending the calm that had settled in after the deflation of 1921 and 1922, became a defining feature of the rest of the decade. Congress tightened immigration policy further with the Immigration Act of 1924, signed May 26, which cut the national-origins quota from 3% of each nationality’s 1910 census population to 2% of its 1890 population, shifting admissions further toward northern and western Europe and effectively excluding most immigration from Asia. Abroad, the U.S.-backed Dawes Plan, adopted that August, reorganized Germany’s war reparations payments and opened the way for American loans into the German economy, helping stabilize European currencies after the hyperinflation that had peaked in 1923. At home, Calvin Coolidge, who had served out the remainder of Warren Harding’s term after his death the previous year, won a full term of his own that November, campaigning on continued prosperity and limited government. First-class postage remained at 2 cents, a price unchanged since mid-1919.

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The destination year: 2021

2021 was the year inflation stopped being background noise. Consumer prices rose 4.7% on average for the year, and the pace kept building as the months went on: by December, the 12-month rate had reached 7.0%, the highest since 1982. The proximate cause was a supply chain that could not keep up with a fast-reopening economy. A global semiconductor shortage choked new car production and pushed used vehicle prices up by more than a third, the single largest line item in the year’s inflation math. Lumber, appliances, and shipping capacity told versions of the same story: demand snapped back faster than factories, ports, and truckers could handle it. Washington added fuel in March with the $1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, on top of the relief already in the pipeline since 2020. For most of the year, the Federal Reserve called the price surge “transitory,” a temporary reopening effect expected to fade on its own, and held its policy rate near zero. By November, with inflation still climbing, the Fed reversed course and began winding down its bond purchases, the first step toward the rate hikes that would follow in 2022. Gas averaged $3.01 a gallon for the year, up from about $2.17 in 2020, while the federal minimum wage held at $7.25, unchanged since 2009. In hindsight, 2021 reads as the hinge year: the point where “transitory” inflation became the multi-year fight the Fed spent the next two years trying to win.

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