Value of $100 in 1920, adjusted to 1940

What happened to prices between 1920 and 1940

Between 1920 and 1940, the Consumer Price Index went from 20 to 14. Cumulatively, prices declined 30.0%, which works out to an average of -1.77% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1920 bought what $1.43 buys in 1940.

1920 was the last year of the inflation that had built since the war began: consumer prices rose 15.6% for the year, leaving the CPI more than double its 1913 starting level after seven straight years of increases. The boom behind those increases turned to bust before the year was over. The Federal Reserve, worried about speculation, pushed its discount rate to a record 7% that spring, and wholesale prices, which had led the wartime runup, began collapsing within months. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the resulting downturn from January 1920 to July 1921, one of the shortest but steepest contractions in U.S. history, and consumer prices followed into outright decline, falling 10.5% in 1921. Two constitutional changes reshaped the country that year, too. The 18th Amendment’s ban on alcohol took legal effect January 17, enforced under the Volstead Act Congress had passed the previous October. Then, on August 18, Tennessee’s ratification of the 19th Amendment secured women’s right to vote nationwide, and women cast ballots in a presidential election for the first time that November, when Warren Harding won on a promise to return the country to “normalcy” after a decade of war, pandemic, and rising prices. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged since mid-1919.

More about inflation in 1920 →

The destination year: 1940

Consumer prices rose 0.7% in 1940, snapping 1939’s decline and marking the first increase since 1937. The gain was modest, and the CPI still stood 18.1% below its 1929 peak, a reminder of how far the recovery from the Depression’s trough had left to go even as defense orders from Britain and France began reaching American factories. War was already reshaping domestic policy well before it touched American soil. Congress passed the Selective Training and Service Act that September, the country’s first peacetime draft, requiring men aged 21 to 35 to register and authorizing the induction of up to 900,000 men a year, more than a year before Pearl Harbor. That November, Franklin Roosevelt won an unprecedented third term, defeating Republican Wendell Willkie after campaigning on keeping the United States out of the war then consuming Europe and Asia. The promise would not hold much longer: within two years, wartime demand would push consumer prices up faster than at any point since the aftermath of World War I. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the federal minimum wage stayed at 30 cents an hour, the level set the previous October under the Fair Labor Standards Act.

More about inflation in 1940 →