Value of $100 in 1919, adjusted to 1948

What happened to prices between 1919 and 1948

Between 1919 and 1948, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.3 to 24.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 39.3%, which works out to an average of 1.15% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1919 bought what $0.72 buys in 1948.

The fighting in Europe ended in November 1918, but American prices kept climbing through 1919 almost as fast as they had during the war itself, rising 14.6% for the year. Wartime price and production controls were being dismantled, millions of soldiers were returning to the civilian labor market, and demand that had been held back for years ran into supply that had not caught up, a combination that kept the cost of living rising even with the guns silent. Workers, whose pay had fallen behind three straight years of double-digit inflation, pushed back: a general strike shut down Seattle in February, Boston’s police force walked out in September, and a nationwide steel strike that same month drew in roughly 350,000 workers and ran into the following January. One price did fall that year: first-class postage reverted to 2 cents on July 1, ending the wartime 3-cent rate that had funded part of the war effort since late 1917. By year’s end, prices had risen close to 75% since the CPI’s 1913 starting point, compressing more than a decade of typical peacetime inflation into six years of war and its aftermath.

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The destination year: 1948

Consumer prices rose 8.1% in 1948, down slightly from 1947’s 14.4% but still the second straight year of sharp postwar inflation now that wartime price controls were fully gone. Congress moved to stabilize a different economy that April, passing the Economic Cooperation Act to fund the plan Secretary of State George Marshall had proposed the year before: more than $13 billion over four years to rebuild Western Europe and counter Soviet influence. The Cold War turned tense closer to the plan’s target that June, when Soviet forces cut off road and rail access to the Western-controlled sectors of Berlin. American and British aircraft responded almost immediately with an airlift of food, fuel, and supplies that would keep the city running for nearly a year. Domestic politics produced its own upset that November: nearly every poll and pundit had predicted a Republican win, but Harry Truman defeated New York Governor Thomas Dewey, handing the Chicago Tribune its famously wrong “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline. Consumer prices finished the year 143.4% above their 1913 level and 40.9% above 1929’s pre-Depression peak. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

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