Value of $100 in 1919, adjusted to 1946

What happened to prices between 1919 and 1946

Between 1919 and 1946, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.3 to 19.5. Cumulatively, prices increased 12.7%, which works out to an average of 0.44% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1919 bought what $0.89 buys in 1946.

The fighting in Europe ended in November 1918, but American prices kept climbing through 1919 almost as fast as they had during the war itself, rising 14.6% for the year. Wartime price and production controls were being dismantled, millions of soldiers were returning to the civilian labor market, and demand that had been held back for years ran into supply that had not caught up, a combination that kept the cost of living rising even with the guns silent. Workers, whose pay had fallen behind three straight years of double-digit inflation, pushed back: a general strike shut down Seattle in February, Boston’s police force walked out in September, and a nationwide steel strike that same month drew in roughly 350,000 workers and ran into the following January. One price did fall that year: first-class postage reverted to 2 cents on July 1, ending the wartime 3-cent rate that had funded part of the war effort since late 1917. By year’s end, prices had risen close to 75% since the CPI’s 1913 starting point, compressing more than a decade of typical peacetime inflation into six years of war and its aftermath.

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The destination year: 1946

Consumer prices rose 8.3% in 1946, up sharply from 1945’s 2.3% and the sharpest increase since 1942, as wartime price controls finally came apart. Congress let the Office of Price Administration’s authority lapse at the end of June, reinstated a weaker version soon after, then wound the whole system down through the rest of the year, releasing years of pent-up demand into the price level almost at once. Meat was the clearest casualty of the fight over decontrol: farmers withheld livestock rather than sell at capped prices, producing severe shortages that spring and summer until ceilings on meat were lifted that October, after which supplies reappeared almost overnight. Labor cashed in its own wartime restraint the same year. An estimated 4.6 million workers walked out at some point in 1946, hitting steel, coal, automakers, and the railroads in the largest strike wave in U.S. history, as unions pushed for wage gains to offset cost-of-living increases controls could no longer contain. Amid the turmoil, Congress made a less visible but lasting change to economic policy: the Employment Act of 1946, signed that February, committed the federal government to promoting maximum employment and created the Council of Economic Advisers. Consumer prices stood 97.0% above their 1913 level, nearly double where the index had started 33 years earlier. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

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