Value of $100 in 1914, adjusted to 1948

What happened to prices between 1914 and 1948

Between 1914 and 1948, the Consumer Price Index went from 10 to 24.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 141.0%, which works out to an average of 2.62% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1914 bought what $0.41 buys in 1948.

Consumer prices barely moved in 1914, rising just 1.0% for the year, even as the country’s financial plumbing was rebuilt from the ground up. The Federal Reserve Banks, created by the Federal Reserve Act signed the previous December, opened their doors on November 16, giving the U.S. a central bank for the first time since the 1830s. Weeks earlier, the outbreak of war in Europe had spooked the New York Stock Exchange into closing for more than four months, the longest shutdown in its history, as officials worried European investors would dump American securities for gold. Domestically, the bigger story was labor: Henry Ford’s decision to pay factory workers $5 a day, announced in January, roughly doubled wages on his assembly lines and pushed other manufacturers to raise pay just to keep workers from leaving. A first-class stamp still cost 2 cents, a price that had held since 1885 and would keep holding for three more years, even as the war reshaping Europe began pulling the American economy toward the sustained wartime inflation of 1917.

More about inflation in 1914 →

The destination year: 1948

Consumer prices rose 8.1% in 1948, down slightly from 1947’s 14.4% but still the second straight year of sharp postwar inflation now that wartime price controls were fully gone. Congress moved to stabilize a different economy that April, passing the Economic Cooperation Act to fund the plan Secretary of State George Marshall had proposed the year before: more than $13 billion over four years to rebuild Western Europe and counter Soviet influence. The Cold War turned tense closer to the plan’s target that June, when Soviet forces cut off road and rail access to the Western-controlled sectors of Berlin. American and British aircraft responded almost immediately with an airlift of food, fuel, and supplies that would keep the city running for nearly a year. Domestic politics produced its own upset that November: nearly every poll and pundit had predicted a Republican win, but Harry Truman defeated New York Governor Thomas Dewey, handing the Chicago Tribune its famously wrong “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline. Consumer prices finished the year 143.4% above their 1913 level and 40.9% above 1929’s pre-Depression peak. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

More about inflation in 1948 →