Value of $100 in 1972, adjusted to 1979

What happened to prices between 1972 and 1979

Between 1972 and 1979, the Consumer Price Index went from 41.8 to 72.6. Cumulatively, prices increased 73.7%, which works out to an average of 8.21% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1972 bought what $0.58 buys in 1979.

Consumer prices rose just 3.2% in 1972, the calmest year of the decade and a sharp break from the previous two years. The relief was largely engineered: Nixon’s wage and price controls, imposed as a 90-day freeze in August 1971, had settled into a series of “phases” that capped how much businesses could raise prices through the election year. Economists would later argue the controls mostly deferred inflation rather than curing it, storing up pressure that broke loose once they were lifted. Nixon spent political capital on foreign policy that year, traveling to Beijing that February in the first visit by a sitting U.S. president to the People’s Republic of China, a trip that began normalizing relations Washington had frozen since 1949. Closer to home, five men were arrested breaking into the Democratic National Committee’s offices at the Watergate complex that June 17, an event that drew little attention at the time but would eventually force Nixon from office. None of it dented his re-election bid: Nixon carried 49 states against Democrat George McGovern that November, helped by an economy that, on paper, looked more stable than it had in years. A median household earned $9,697 in 1972, a new home sold for a median $27,600, and gas held near 36 cents a gallon for a third straight year. Consumer prices stood 322.2% above their 1913 level, a lull that would not survive contact with the controls’ expiration and the oil shock still to come.

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The destination year: 1979

Consumer prices rose 11.3% in 1979, the fastest pace since 1947 and the decade’s second bout of double-digit inflation after 1974’s 11.0%. The trigger was familiar: the Iranian Revolution that January halted Iran’s oil exports, and panic buying amplified the shortage, sending crude prices sharply higher over the year and motorists back into gas lines, with some states reviving the odd-even rationing last seen in 1974. Paul Volcker, appointed Federal Reserve chairman that August, responded with a strategy shift announced that October: the Fed would target the money supply directly and let interest rates rise as high as necessary to break inflation, whatever the short-term cost. That cost would arrive as a deep recession in 1981-82, but by year’s end 1979 had already delivered enough turmoil on its own. A reactor at the Three Mile Island plant near Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, suffered a partial core meltdown that March 28, the worst commercial nuclear accident in U.S. history, and on November 4, militants in Tehran stormed the U.S. embassy and took 52 Americans hostage, beginning a 444-day crisis that consumed the rest of Carter’s presidency. A median household earned $16,461 in 1979, a new home sold for a median $62,900, and gas jumped to 86 cents a gallon. Consumer prices finished the decade 97.8% above where they stood in 1969, very nearly doubling in ten years, and stood 633.3% above their 1913 level. The 1970s had opened with inflation cooling from the 1969 spike and closed with prices rising faster than at any point since 1947, setting up the Great Inflation’s final act in 1980.

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