Value of $100 in 1949, adjusted to 1953

What happened to prices between 1949 and 1953

Between 1949 and 1953, the Consumer Price Index went from 23.8 to 26.7. Cumulatively, prices increased 12.2%, which works out to an average of 2.92% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1949 bought what $0.89 buys in 1953.

Consumer prices fell 1.2% in 1949, down from 1948’s 8.1% gain and the first annual decline since 1939, the first real break in a decade otherwise defined by wartime and postwar inflation. A mild recession drove the drop: the National Bureau of Economic Research dates a downturn from November 1948 to October 1949, as businesses worked off inventories built up during the postwar buying boom and price pressure finally eased. The Cold War hardened around the same time. On April 4, the United States, Canada, and ten Western European nations signed the North Atlantic Treaty, committing to treat an attack on one member as an attack on all and formalizing the Western alliance against Soviet expansion. That August 29, the Soviet Union tested its first atomic bomb, ending the American nuclear monopoly just four years after Hiroshima and Nagasaki and setting off an arms race that would run for decades. Congress closed out the decade’s wage policy that October, passing the Fair Labor Standards Amendments of 1949 to raise the federal minimum wage to 75 cents an hour effective the following January, nearly double the 40 cents that had held since 1945. The decade closed with consumer prices 140.4% above their 1913 level, up 70% since 1940 alone even after 1949’s decline. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

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The destination year: 1953

Consumer prices rose 0.8% in 1953, down from 1952’s 1.9% as fighting in Korea wound toward a truce and three years of wartime buying pressure finally eased. The year’s biggest shock came from Moscow: Soviet leader Joseph Stalin died March 5 after nearly three decades in power, the first change of Soviet leadership since the 1920s, opening a period of uncertainty over how his successors would deal with the West. Washington used the calmer backdrop to unwind its own wartime machinery. Authority for the price and wage controls imposed in 1951 lapsed that spring, as the Eisenhower administration, which favored free markets over controls, wound down the Office of Price Stabilization. The war itself ended, on paper, that July: negotiators signed an armistice July 27 at Panmunjom, halting the fighting roughly along the original border near the 38th parallel. No formal peace treaty ever followed, and North and South Korea remain technically at war. Consumer prices finished 1953 169.7% above their 1913 level. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 75 cents an hour.

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