Value of $100 in 1946, adjusted to 1948

What happened to prices between 1946 and 1948

Between 1946 and 1948, the Consumer Price Index went from 19.5 to 24.1. Cumulatively, prices increased 23.6%, which works out to an average of 11.17% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1946 bought what $0.81 buys in 1948.

Consumer prices rose 8.3% in 1946, up sharply from 1945’s 2.3% and the sharpest increase since 1942, as wartime price controls finally came apart. Congress let the Office of Price Administration’s authority lapse at the end of June, reinstated a weaker version soon after, then wound the whole system down through the rest of the year, releasing years of pent-up demand into the price level almost at once. Meat was the clearest casualty of the fight over decontrol: farmers withheld livestock rather than sell at capped prices, producing severe shortages that spring and summer until ceilings on meat were lifted that October, after which supplies reappeared almost overnight. Labor cashed in its own wartime restraint the same year. An estimated 4.6 million workers walked out at some point in 1946, hitting steel, coal, automakers, and the railroads in the largest strike wave in U.S. history, as unions pushed for wage gains to offset cost-of-living increases controls could no longer contain. Amid the turmoil, Congress made a less visible but lasting change to economic policy: the Employment Act of 1946, signed that February, committed the federal government to promoting maximum employment and created the Council of Economic Advisers. Consumer prices stood 97.0% above their 1913 level, nearly double where the index had started 33 years earlier. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

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The destination year: 1948

Consumer prices rose 8.1% in 1948, down slightly from 1947’s 14.4% but still the second straight year of sharp postwar inflation now that wartime price controls were fully gone. Congress moved to stabilize a different economy that April, passing the Economic Cooperation Act to fund the plan Secretary of State George Marshall had proposed the year before: more than $13 billion over four years to rebuild Western Europe and counter Soviet influence. The Cold War turned tense closer to the plan’s target that June, when Soviet forces cut off road and rail access to the Western-controlled sectors of Berlin. American and British aircraft responded almost immediately with an airlift of food, fuel, and supplies that would keep the city running for nearly a year. Domestic politics produced its own upset that November: nearly every poll and pundit had predicted a Republican win, but Harry Truman defeated New York Governor Thomas Dewey, handing the Chicago Tribune its famously wrong “Dewey Defeats Truman” headline. Consumer prices finished the year 143.4% above their 1913 level and 40.9% above 1929’s pre-Depression peak. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

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