Value of $100 in 1923, adjusted to 1954

What happened to prices between 1923 and 1954

Between 1923 and 1954, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.1 to 26.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 57.3%, which works out to an average of 1.47% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1923 bought what $0.64 buys in 1954.

Consumer prices rose 1.8% in 1923, the first increase since 1920 and a sign the postwar deflation had run its course; the economy settled into the steadier growth that defined much of the rest of the decade. The year’s biggest shock was political rather than economic: Warren Harding died August 2 in San Francisco while returning from a trip to Alaska, and Vice President Calvin Coolidge was sworn in the next day at his family’s farmhouse in Plymouth Notch, Vermont, administered the oath of office by his own father, a notary public, by lamplight. Coolidge would go on to preside over the low, stable inflation of the “Roaring Twenties.” The contrast with Germany that year was stark. The Weimar Republic’s currency collapse reached its peak in November 1923, with prices doubling every few days and a loaf of bread costing billions of marks; Germany introduced a new currency, the Rentenmark, that month to halt the spiral. U.S. consumer prices, by comparison, had moved in single digits or held flat every year since 1921, a gap that shaped how American economists would later think about what made the postwar inflation of Europe so different from the mild swings at home. First-class postage stayed at 2 cents.

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The destination year: 1954

Consumer prices rose 0.7% in 1954, extending 1953’s 0.8% slowdown even as the economy tipped into recession, an early example of prices continuing to rise through a downturn rather than falling with it. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates that recession from July 1953 to May 1954, as defense spending fell after the Korean War armistice and the tighter monetary policy of the year before worked its way through the economy. The Supreme Court reshaped a different part of American life that spring: its unanimous May 17 ruling in Brown v. Board of Education held that “separate but equal” public schools violated the Constitution, overturning the legal basis for segregated education. Washington also closed the book on a different fight that year. Following the televised Army-McCarthy hearings that spring, the Senate voted 67 to 22 on December 2 to condemn Senator Joseph McCarthy’s conduct, ending his dominance of American politics after four years of anti-communist investigations. Consumer prices finished 1954 171.7% above their 1913 level, essentially flat with 1953 as the mild recession held the cost of living in check. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 75 cents an hour.

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