Value of $100 in 1922, adjusted to 1938

What happened to prices between 1922 and 1938

Between 1922 and 1938, the Consumer Price Index went from 16.8 to 14.1. Cumulatively, prices declined 16.1%, which works out to an average of -1.09% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1922 bought what $1.19 buys in 1938.

Consumer prices fell another 6.1% in 1922, the second straight year of decline, even as the broader economy climbed out of the Depression of 1920-21 and industrial production rebounded. The CPI had now given back roughly a third of its wartime runup, though it stayed well above the 1913 baseline. Congress moved to shield that recovery from foreign competition: the Fordney-McCumber Tariff Act, signed September 21, raised duties on hundreds of imported goods to some of the highest levels in U.S. history, a policy meant to protect farmers and manufacturers still adjusting to postwar prices. Labor tension flared even as prices fell. Roughly half a million bituminous coal miners struck that April over wage cuts employers had imposed as prices dropped, and hundreds of thousands of railroad shop workers walked out in July in a separate dispute over pay and work rules, together the largest strike wave since 1919. Both disputes dragged on for months and drew federal mediation before ending without full concessions for the workers. First-class postage remained at 2 cents.

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The destination year: 1938

Consumer prices fell 2.1% in 1938, reversing most of 1937’s gain and interrupting four straight years of recovery from the Depression’s trough. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the bottom of the downturn, which had begun that May, to June 1938, a sharp 13-month contraction that briefly pushed unemployment back up near 19%. Even in a year the economy was shrinking again, Congress passed one of the New Deal’s most lasting reforms. The Fair Labor Standards Act, signed June 25 and effective that October, established the first federal minimum wage, 25 cents an hour, capped the standard workweek at 44 hours with time-and-a-half overtime beyond it, and restricted the employment of children in most industries. The wage floor and hours limits applied only to workers engaged in interstate commerce at first, but they set a precedent that would expand in the decades that followed. Consumer prices stood 42.4% above their 1913 level and 17.5% below their 1929 peak, evidence of how far the recovery still had to go even eight years after the Depression began. First-class postage held at 3 cents.

More about inflation in 1938 →