Value of $100 in 1921, adjusted to 1977

What happened to prices between 1921 and 1977

Between 1921 and 1977, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.9 to 60.6. Cumulatively, prices increased 238.5%, which works out to an average of 2.20% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1921 bought what $0.30 buys in 1977.

Consumer prices fell 10.5% in 1921, the mirror image of the wartime inflation that had more than doubled the cost of living between 1913 and 1920. The Depression of 1920-21, one of the sharpest contractions in U.S. history, bottomed out that July according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, even though it had lasted barely eighteen months. Unemployment climbed toward one worker in ten as businesses cut production and prices to work through wartime inventories, but the same collapse in prices also meant the recovery, once it started, had room to run without reigniting inflation. Warren Harding took office March 4, promising a return to “normalcy” after a decade of war, pandemic, labor unrest, and rapid price swings; his administration moved quickly to cut top income tax rates and federal spending. Congress also acted on immigration that year: the Emergency Quota Act, signed May 19, capped annual arrivals from each country at 3% of that nationality’s population in the 1910 census, the first time the United States had set a numerical ceiling on immigration. The law favored northern and western Europe and cut total immigration by more than half compared with prewar levels; Congress tightened the formula again in 1924. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged since mid-1919.

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The destination year: 1977

Consumer prices rose 6.5% in 1977, ticking back up from 1976’s 5.8% as the economic recovery strengthened, wages climbed, and energy costs pushed higher again. The year opened with a warning about that energy dependence: record cold across the Midwest and Northeast in January and February strained natural gas supplies so badly that schools and factories in several states shut down for days to conserve fuel. Jimmy Carter, inaugurated that January, made energy policy a centerpiece of his presidency, and Congress created the cabinet-level Department of Energy that August to consolidate programs built up piecemeal since the 1973 oil embargo. Culture offered some relief from the anxiety: released that May, Star Wars became the highest-grossing film in history to that point, drawing lines around theater blocks for months. The year also closed an era in a different way. Elvis Presley was found dead at his Graceland home on August 16 at age 42, drawing tens of thousands of mourners to Memphis. A median household earned $13,572 in 1977, a new home sold for a median $48,800, and gas averaged 62 cents a gallon. Consumer prices stood 512.1% above their 1913 level, with the energy anxieties of the year setting up the harder shocks of 1978 and 1979.

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