Value of $100 in 1921, adjusted to 1958

What happened to prices between 1921 and 1958

Between 1921 and 1958, the Consumer Price Index went from 17.9 to 28.9. Cumulatively, prices increased 61.5%, which works out to an average of 1.30% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1921 bought what $0.62 buys in 1958.

Consumer prices fell 10.5% in 1921, the mirror image of the wartime inflation that had more than doubled the cost of living between 1913 and 1920. The Depression of 1920-21, one of the sharpest contractions in U.S. history, bottomed out that July according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, even though it had lasted barely eighteen months. Unemployment climbed toward one worker in ten as businesses cut production and prices to work through wartime inventories, but the same collapse in prices also meant the recovery, once it started, had room to run without reigniting inflation. Warren Harding took office March 4, promising a return to “normalcy” after a decade of war, pandemic, labor unrest, and rapid price swings; his administration moved quickly to cut top income tax rates and federal spending. Congress also acted on immigration that year: the Emergency Quota Act, signed May 19, capped annual arrivals from each country at 3% of that nationality’s population in the 1910 census, the first time the United States had set a numerical ceiling on immigration. The law favored northern and western Europe and cut total immigration by more than half compared with prewar levels; Congress tightened the formula again in 1924. First-class postage held at 2 cents, unchanged since mid-1919.

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The destination year: 1958

Consumer prices rose 2.8% in 1958, down only slightly from 1957’s 3.3% even as the country sank into the sharpest postwar recession to that point, an early sign that inflation and a shrinking economy could coexist rather than trade off against each other. The National Bureau of Economic Research dates the downturn’s trough to that April, with unemployment peaking near 7.5% that summer, the worst reading since the 1930s. The Post Office raised first-class postage to 4 cents that August 1, up from 3 cents, the rate’s first change since 1932. Washington answered the Soviet Union’s technological lead that summer too: Eisenhower signed the National Aeronautics and Space Act on July 29, establishing NASA, which opened for business that October 1 to compete with the Soviet space program after the shock of Sputnik the year before. Consumer prices finished 1958 191.9% above their 1913 level. The minimum wage held at $1.00 an hour, and first-class postage rose to 4 cents that August, the first increase since 1932.

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