Value of $100 in 1918, adjusted to 1932

What happened to prices between 1918 and 1932

Between 1918 and 1932, the Consumer Price Index went from 15.1 to 13.7. Cumulatively, prices declined 9.3%, which works out to an average of -0.69% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1918 bought what $1.10 buys in 1932.

1918 brought the steepest annual price increase the CPI had recorded: consumer prices rose 18.0% for the year, edging out 1917’s already sharp 17.4% as the economy stayed at full wartime mobilization for most of the year. A first-class stamp cost 3 cents, up from 2 cents the previous November under the War Revenue Act’s wartime tax increases. The war itself ended on November 11, when Germany signed an armistice with the Allied powers after more than four years of fighting in Europe, but the inflation built up over a year and a half of mobilization did not disappear along with the fighting. The bigger public health story that year was the influenza pandemic that reached the U.S. in a mild spring wave and then returned that fall in a far deadlier form, eventually killing roughly 675,000 Americans, more than the country’s combat losses in the war. It hit factories, docks, and shops alongside households, adding disruption to an economy already strained by wartime demand. Prices would keep climbing even after the armistice, into the postwar surge of 1919.

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The destination year: 1932

Consumer prices fell 9.9% in 1932, the steepest single-year drop in the CPI’s history to that point and the third straight year of decline following 1930 and 1931. Wages, farm incomes, and industrial output all kept falling, and Congress tried to arrest the credit collapse by creating the Reconstruction Finance Corporation that January, capitalized at $500 million with authority to borrow up to $1.5 billion to lend directly to banks, railroads, and other struggling businesses. Relief did not reach ordinary households as quickly. That summer, tens of thousands of World War I veterans and their families camped in Washington demanding early payment of a service bonus not due until 1945; in July, U.S. Army troops under General Douglas MacArthur forcibly dispersed the encampment, an episode that badly damaged the Hoover administration’s standing months before an election it was already losing. Voters delivered their verdict on November 8, electing Franklin D. Roosevelt in a landslide over the incumbent Hoover on a promise of relief and a “new deal for the American people.” Roosevelt would not take office until the following March, leaving a long and difficult transition during the depths of the crisis. First-class postage rose from 2 cents to 3 cents on July 6, the first change to the rate since 1919.

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