Value of $100 in 1915, adjusted to 1946

What happened to prices between 1915 and 1946

Between 1915 and 1946, the Consumer Price Index went from 10.1 to 19.5. Cumulatively, prices increased 93.1%, which works out to an average of 2.14% per year. Put differently, a dollar in 1915 bought what $0.52 buys in 1946.

Consumer prices rose 1.0% in 1915, the second straight year of near-flat inflation before the wartime price surges of 1916 through 1918. The year’s defining event had nothing to do with prices directly: a German submarine sank the British liner Lusitania off the Irish coast on May 7, killing 128 Americans and hardening U.S. opinion against Germany two years before the country entered the war. Economically, 1915 was a turning point of a different kind. A recession that had dragged on since 1913 began lifting as Britain and France placed growing orders for steel, munitions, and other war materiel with American manufacturers, and U.S. exports to the Allied powers climbed sharply through the year. That demand would keep building through 1916, eventually pulling prices up with it. On the regulatory side, the Federal Trade Commission opened for business in March, taking on enforcement of the Clayton Antitrust Act that Congress had passed the previous fall. A first-class stamp still cost 2 cents, unchanged since 1885 and still two years from its first wartime increase.

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The destination year: 1946

Consumer prices rose 8.3% in 1946, up sharply from 1945’s 2.3% and the sharpest increase since 1942, as wartime price controls finally came apart. Congress let the Office of Price Administration’s authority lapse at the end of June, reinstated a weaker version soon after, then wound the whole system down through the rest of the year, releasing years of pent-up demand into the price level almost at once. Meat was the clearest casualty of the fight over decontrol: farmers withheld livestock rather than sell at capped prices, producing severe shortages that spring and summer until ceilings on meat were lifted that October, after which supplies reappeared almost overnight. Labor cashed in its own wartime restraint the same year. An estimated 4.6 million workers walked out at some point in 1946, hitting steel, coal, automakers, and the railroads in the largest strike wave in U.S. history, as unions pushed for wage gains to offset cost-of-living increases controls could no longer contain. Amid the turmoil, Congress made a less visible but lasting change to economic policy: the Employment Act of 1946, signed that February, committed the federal government to promoting maximum employment and created the Council of Economic Advisers. Consumer prices stood 97.0% above their 1913 level, nearly double where the index had started 33 years earlier. First-class postage held at 3 cents, and the minimum wage stayed at 40 cents an hour.

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